Trump on the verge

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The New York Times brings clarity to the state of the presidential race this evening. The Times assesses that President Trump has an 89 percent chance of victory at the moment. That’s up from 69 percent a few hours ago. The Times estimates that Trump will win with 301 electoral college votes. The accompanying text is somewhat more conservative: “Trump has won in North Carolina and is very likely to take Georgia. To win, Harris will probably need to sweep Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — but Trump has an advantage in all three.” It looks to be a historic comeback victory.

Paul Sperry throws caution to the winds via X.

BREAKING: Trump will sweep all seven (7) swing states, projects Raghavan Mayur who runs the TIPP poll, recognized as “the nation’s most accurate pollster.” Mayur just texted me: “It is as clean sweep. Led by Latino & African-American men, a crushing defeat for Obama & the media.”

— Paul Sperry (@paulsperry_) November 6, 2024