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A “swing bakery” which has correctly predicted the outcome of every election bar one for the past four decades is reporting that Donald Trump is leading among customers.

Busken Bakery in Cincinnati, Ohio, encourages customers to purchase a cookie featuring a resemblance to their preferred presidential candidate. Customers who plan to vote for Donald Trump choose a cookie with his likeness, while those who are in favor of Kamala Harris buy accordingly.

By Sept. 24, Trump had opened up a 15-percentage point lead among customers in the bakery. That advantage has more than quadrupled, with the Republican leading by 68 points and mirroring a strong October for the former president.

In a Facebook post dated Oct. 29, Trump had 29,940 votes to his name, compared to just 11,521 for the Democrat. Third-party candidates – represented by a smiley face – have 2,090 votes altogether.

Remember, this is a bakery which has accurately predicted every election since 1984. The exception, of course, is 2020, where many suspect fraud.

Despite that, the poll is obviously still unscientific, and can be gamed by one side of the political aisle making a deliberate effort to go to their bakery – though with the huge margin seen above, that would obviously be hard to pull off. Simply put, to think nearly 20,000 Trump voters made an effort to go to a bakery to rig the results of a cookie poll seems unlikely.

Naturally, the comment section saw a divided audience, with Republicans offering their thoughts.


Democrats were often ridiculed for their responses.

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