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Bruce Mehlman notes in his weekly chartbook that “Gallup data shows ‘the party rated as better at handling the most important problem has won’ every presidential election since 1952 (n.b. question not asked in 2000 and was tied in 1980). The economy / cost of living is consistently rated the top issue to most voters in 2024 across almost every poll, and Trump is consistently more trusted on the issue.  As we wrote in September, ‘the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index is in throw-the-bums-out territory.’”

And how about the number two issue—immigration: