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Vice President Kamala Harris is performing so poorly in the 2024 race that some are now asking whether it would have been better to run President Joe Biden instead.
Take Harlan Ullman, a senior advisor at the Atlantic Council. On Monday he published a column at The Hill asking, “What if Joe Biden was the better candidate all along?”
Just the title alone of the column triggered an outpouring of mockery and taunting given as Democrats brought this on themselves by pushing Biden out and then immediately replacing him with Harris — the most unpopular vice president in history — instead of holding a new primary.
Look:
Actions have coupsequences.
— U.S. Ministry of Truth (@USMiniTru) October 22, 2024
Maybe hold a primary next time retards.
— ℙ’ (@OfAthenry) October 22, 2024
You guys picked the most unpopular candidate of either party since john mccain in 2008
— Let’s Go Brandon (TRUMP 24 ) (@LetsGoBrando93) October 21, 2024
Harris has 28% approval rating while Biden has 43% so yes they installed the wrong candidate.
— Mary Hemingway (@LStargazer54) October 22, 2024
Why did you skip the primaries and choose the only candidate who could lose to Trump will be the question asked by every historian in the future
— lxx (, ⚡️) (@luoxiaxia) October 22, 2024
If only there were some sort of vote you can hold, prior to the election, which would allow you to determine which candidate has the best chance at the presidency.
— j̷o̵h̶n̶☠️ (@revjohn22) October 22, 2024
If only there was a democratic process where candidates of the same party debate and campaign against each other and the party affiliated voters select which of the candidates has the best chance of winning the national election.
— Super Human Epoch (@SuperHumanEpoch) October 22, 2024
— TWEETO BANDITO (@DjptrsnMana) October 22, 2024
In his column, Ullman defends the thesis that Biden would have been a better candidate than Harris by pointing to some findings in Bob Woodward’s latest book,” War.”
“Woodward paints a very positive picture of Biden’s ability to lead and to govern despite making mistakes, most notably the disastrous withdrawal from Kabul,” he writes. “Woodward also reports that Biden’s obvious decline was physical and not mental.”
“This was caused in part by prior medical conditions accelerating the effects of age on a body. There were also the strains of high office; the president refused to limit his overworked schedule despite valid criticisms that he was on near-permanent holiday in Delaware or Camp David,” he adds.
According to Ullman, Biden could have overcome his physical limitations versus former President Donald Trump had he focused on highlighting Trump’s dubious criminal convictions.
“If Biden were still the candidate, he would have to overcome these physical and visual disparities with Trump,” Ullman writes. “To do that, Biden would have to mount an aggressive campaign to portray Trump as a convicted felon, unfit for public office. For some reason, the Harris campaign has downplayed this conviction and his three other pending cases, as well as Trump’s major character flaws.”
Ullman’s column comes amid a Newsweek report filed Tuesday revealing that Trump’s betting market odds of winning the 2024 race are now higher than they were before the infamous debate that prompted Biden to drop out of the race and endorse Harris.
“As of 4:20 a.m. ET on Tuesday, Polymarket gave Trump odds of 64.3 percent on victory in November, substantially ahead of Democratic rival Kamala Harris on 35.7 percent,” Newsweek notes.
“The GOP candidate’s chances of winning according to Polymarket are now higher than they were at 1 a.m. ET on June 27, just hours before the Biden debate in Georgia, when they stood at 60 percent against 34 percent for the incumbent president,” the report continues.
Trump takes the biggest lead on Polymarket since they announced Kamala’s candidacy
Trump trolling at McDonald’s > fake Kamala town hall with pre-determined questions pic.twitter.com/WBaGomI3Md
— Rothmus (@Rothmus) October 22, 2024
What happened is that Trump’s betting odds were very good, then Biden dropped out, and then Trump’s numbers collapsed as Harris enjoyed a “honeymoon” during and after the Democrat National Convention. But months later, Trump’s numbers have now spiked once more.
ElectionBettingOdds.com, a site that averages betting odds across multiple markets, had former President Donald Trump leading with 60.3 percent of bets and Harris losing with a paltry 39.1 percent of bets as of the morning of Oct. 22nd.
RealClearPolitics, another site that tracks betting averages (and polling averages), meanwhile had Trump up 60.1 percent and Harris down 38.7 percent.
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