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With less than one month until Election Day 2024, today’s show breaks down major swing state polling updates.

Harris is only up 0.8 points in Wisconsin, far behind Biden’s 5.5 points on this day in 2020. Biden barely won that state by less than one percent.

According to the Cook Report

With less than a month until Election Day, many of the Senate battlegrounds have begun to tighten. Our Swing State Project surveys last week showed Wisconsin to be the closest Senate race of the five battlegrounds polled, with Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s seven-point August lead shrinking to two points, 49%-47%, over GOP challenger Eric Hovde.

“I will give these things a coin toss,” Crowder said.

In Pennsylvania, Trump is up by 0.2 percent. This makes Kamala way behind Biden’s lead of 7 percent this day in 2020. He also only won by one percent.

“That would be a walkoff,” Crowder said.

Republicans are also out-registering the Dems in Pennsylvania.

According to Newsweek:

Online betting platform Polymarket, funded in part by early Trump backer Peter Thiel, on Monday showed Trump with his best-ever odds of defeating Harris in Pennsylvania. Election odds on the platform are determined by bets placed on candidates rather than outside data, like polls.

Recent polls of the other battlegrounds suggest that each contest is likely to be very close. FiveThirtyEight averages on Tuesday showed Harris leading Trump by small margins in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, while the former president had slim leads over the vice president in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

It turns out that the media pretending that Kamala is popular does not actually make her popular with swing voters. So while she’s currently on a fake, scripted media tour, she worsens her artificial lead by the day. Subsequently, things are not as bad as you may think.

“To act as though a guaranteed lost election defies reason,” Crowder said.