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The country of Lithuania, a member of both NATO and the EU, took an action that might have been the biggest real-world escalation between a member of NATO and Russia since the Ukraine war began.

Over the weekend, the Lithuanian government enacted a ban on all goods going from Russia to Kaliningrad—which is Russia’s far-flung territory near the Baltic Sea.

And from the perspective of Moscow, this action is tantamount to laying economic siege on part of Russia’s sovereign territory and 1 million of its citizens—something they claim that they are willing to fight over.

And a fight with Lithuania would mean a fight with NATO—and by extension, the United States.

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